NFL Super Wild Card Weekend Odds, Pick: Cardinals, 49ers Achieve Upset; Bills tear down the Patriots


The 2021 regular season is now in the books and there’s a knock on the door of the first round of the NFL playoffs. We’ve got six games on the Super Wild Card Weekend roster, which includes a number of high-profile revenges like Buffalo-New England and Arizona-LA, and we’ll have some quality quarterbacks on top of that. It’s a lot of action for us to really dive into our little internet gaming nook.

Unlike how we operate in the regular season where I would spend my five locks of the week and then list my other picks, I’ll just break down each game on the playoff list like Lock of the Week. Yes, your calculations are correct. This means that I am making one more in-depth choice this week. Does that make me a hero? Yes. May be.

Regular season record 2021

ATS locks of the week: 50-36-4
ATS: 131-137-4
ML: 169-102-1

Latest odds: Cincinnati Bengals -5.5

It’s one of the games I’m strangely excited about. Typically, the Saturday afternoon opener isn’t exactly the slot for a Titan Clash, but I’m fascinated to see Joe Burrow in the playoffs. He was nailed in the big games at LSU and seems to have that factor to pull off a strong performance in the NFL as well. These two teams met earlier this season and it was a closer game than the 32-13 final suggests. That said, Cincinnati was averaging around 37 points in the two games leading up to the regular season finale where they rested Burrow. If they can maintain that level of play offensively I’m not sure the Raiders will be able to call.

Projected score: Bengals 30, Raiders 24
The choice: Cincinnati -5.5

Latest odds: Buffalo Bills -4

I don’t like how the Patriots look down the stretch. It wasn’t that long ago that they were the No.1 seed in the conference, but have since fallen due to a wild card entry. That’s thanks to three losses in their last four games, including a 33-21 loss to Buffalo in Week 16. Despite these clubs dividing the series of seasons, this game at Foxborough may be a more realistic view. of how this next game will play out. After all, New England’s victory in Week 13 was aided by 40mph winds in a game where they only threw the ball three times. Until Mother Nature gets their hands on this game the same way, I don’t think Mac Jones is quite ready to match Josh Allen throw to throw. The Bills are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites.

Projected score: Bills 27, Patriots 21
The choice: Invoices -4

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Latest odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -8.5

It’s hard for me to avoid Tom Brady there with a gap of less than 10. The Buccaneers were 6-2 ATS at Raymond James Stadium this season, which was tied for the second-best score of the season. NFL. Tampa Bay is expected to have backers Leonard Fournette and Lavonte David for this game, as well as Shaq Barrett, who was activated off the reserve / COVID-19 roster this week. The Eagles managed to hold onto their Week 6 loss to the Bucs in one scoreline, but it was a dominating effort from Tampa Bay, which nearly doubled Philly in yards and possession time. The weather could play a role as rain and wind are forecast for this game, but I don’t think that will affect Brady much in the passing game. Meanwhile, the Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.

Projected score: Boucaniers 30, Aigles 21
The choice: Buccaneers -8.5

Latest odds: Dallas Cowboys -3

The Cowboys have been a stellar bet this season, holding a 13-4 ATS record, the best in the NFL. Despite having top-notch defense and prolific weapons on offense, the 49ers are a tough draw in this first round. The Dallas run defense ranks 16th in the NFL in DVOA and allowed 4.5 yards per carry (tied for fifth in the league) in the regular season. It plays into how Kyle Shanahan will want to play this game offensively and has weapons at skill posts – like Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, etc. – to move the channels. Meanwhile, the Cowboys haven’t faced much adversity in their final weeks, as their final weeks have seen them face inferior opponents. The only game in the past month or more that they’ve faced a playoff contender has been a 25-22 loss to the Cardinals.

Projected score: 49ers 30, Cowboys 27
The choice: San Francisco +3

Latest odds: Kansas City Chiefs -12.5

The Steelers slipped into the playoffs thanks to the perfect streak of dominoes falling in their favor. While their defense is worthy of the playoffs, offense is another story as they have barely managed to average 20 points per game throughout the year, with Ben Roethlisberger looking a lot like a quarterback during the season. his last game. If Pittsburgh is playing the way it has throughout the year, it’s hard to imagine a scenario where Kansas City doesn’t run away with this game. I think it’s going to be very similar to the previous clash between these two teams in Week 16, where the Chiefs hung 30 before the Steelers could even get on the board. It’s also worth noting that the Steelers haven’t been able to string together positive games as they are 1-4 ATS after their last five wins.

Projected score: Chefs 33, Steelers 20
The choice: Heads -12.5

Cardinals to Rams

Latest odds: Los Angeles Rams -4

The Cardinals didn’t end the regular season on a particularly high note having lost four of their last five games. That said, I think I’m more concerned with how Matthew Stafford will play in this game than the end-of-season struggles Arizona faced. Over the past four weeks, the Rams quarterback has thrown as many interceptions (8) as he has touchdowns (8), including several picks in the last three games. If those turnovers bleed into the playoffs, it could turn out to be a death sentence for Los Angeles and only amplify the narrative that Stafford – who is 0-3 in the playoffs of his career – is on his way. debate in great moments. The Rams have also struggled to cover against good teams as they are 1-5 ATS against teams with a winning record.

Projected score: Cardinals 28, Rams 26
The choice: Cardinals +4

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