NFL Week 17 best bets: Eagles can smell the playoffs, and Steelers give Ben Roethlisberger one final home win

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Had a pretty solid week 16. Went 2-1. I can live with this. Brings us to 22-17 on the season. The COVID factor remains very significant and is changing the landscape of many of these games day by day as new positive results emerge and players return from the reserve / COVID roster as well. Even making those picks on Friday gives me a break as there has been more roster activity on Saturday afternoon this season than I can remember before – especially when it comes to the players we have. previously believed to be available and suddenly become absent for about five days.

So the buyer is generally wary here. There are still many more variables at play than we would have before the pandemic.

This has generally led me to be pretty judicious in how I make these choices, wanting to limit the sample size due to so much uncertainty. We will stick to that philosophy this week.

Latest odds: Washington Soccer Team +4.5

I’ve driven the Eagles with some consistency in this space believing them to be a playoff team and a valuable game since midway through the season. It seems like Vegas took a while to come to grips with it, and even now that line feels low to me. Especially with COVID continuing to wreak havoc on WFT. The Eagles have found out who they are and what they do, and the coaching staff generally puts Jalen Hurts in a position to be successful. They are throwing the ball at everyone, and the WFT defense is certainly suffering right now.

It won’t be as one-sided as it was two weeks ago, but the Eagles tend to improve as the game progresses and Washington tend not to, and Philly will exhaust that exhausted list of four. quarters and will win by one touchdown or more. . Sure Miles Sanders came out, but the ploy is the star here – with Hurts as an option – and let’s not forget that just two weeks ago the Eagles beat WFT by 10 at home and ran for 238. yards. Going to Washington won’t be a problem: The Eagles are well rested after barely having to travel in the second half of the season and they can smell the playoffs. Their defensive front will give WFT adjustments, especially without Antonio Gibson as a pressure valve and they will improve on their seven QB hits from the first meeting.

Latest odds: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

Big Ben’s last home game (in all likelihood). A crowd of Monday night footballers with the playoffs on the line. Facing a Browns team that ended their season in Pittsburgh a year ago. Renegade.

What am I forgetting here?

Mike Tomlin doesn’t have any losing seasons and every time it looks like the Steelers are being left for dead they are saving their season. The Browns have been a stumbling and clumsy group, the offense can’t score – just like Pittsburgh – and not having Jack Conklin on the right tackle is going to be a big deal on the road as TJ Watt and Cam Heyward nag at Take turns Baker Mayfield. The Steelers didn’t have to beat Baltimore or Tennessee in their last two home games, but won both. Watt had five sacks, 18 presses, one forced fumble and a fumble recovery in those two games. I suspect it will make a difference here as well.

The Browns don’t seem to have the same belief and booty they did a year ago, and they’re walking into a hornet’s nest here. Even if the Steelers aren’t directing the ball very well, they’ll eat the clock and get runs. My only concern is Pittsburgh’s porous defense, but the unit has held the Browns to under 100 rushing yards in their twin in Cleveland and Kevin Stefanski has also been a little too happy lately. The Steelers return home teams with great consistency and it has become a big deal for this Browns team. It’s also a gambling game for me. I think the Steelers win outright.

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