NFL Week 17 odds, pick: Cowboys extend NFL top ATS mark against cards; Hawks cover massive spread against bills


There are only two weeks left in the 2021 regular season and it still feels like all the drama is still ahead of us. Only one AFC team has officially punched their ticket to the playoffs, so there is potential for some serious move in this conference. The picture of the NFC playoffs is a bit clearer, but there is still potential for a reshuffle with the remaining wild cards up for grabs. Naturally, all of these high stakes games make betting even more exciting, which is what we’ll be focusing on here today.

We were again above 0.500 with our picks in the week 16 slate, but not by much as we went from 9 to 7 on the whole slate. We’ll be looking to improve on those totals and get a bigger payout now that we’re focusing our full attention on Week 17, starting with our five locks for the week.

2021 record

ATS locks of the week: 46-30-4
ATS: 118-118-4
ML: 149-90-1

Latest odds: Chicago Bears -6

It hasn’t been pretty for the Giants over the past month or so. They enter Week 17 on a four-game losing streak where the quarterback’s play was inferior following a season-ending Daniel Jones neck injury. Last week Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm combined for just 108 passing yards and will now catch up to a Bears team that has been pesky lately. Chicago comes off a solid road win over the Seahawks and David Montgomery has been a versatile threat out of the backfield. In addition to his running abilities, he’s also averaged 43.5 receiving yards in the past month. This season, New York gives up about 125.3 yards on the ground (26th in the NFL). Chicago might be able to win this game by touchdown, especially against a Giants club who have under 0.500 ATS on the road this year.

Projected score: Chicago 24, Giants 17
The choice: Bear -6

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Lions at Seahawks

Latest odds: Seattle Seahawks -6.5

The Lions are the gift that continues to give this season, so why not go back to the well? Detroit is 10-5 ATS, which is tied for the third-best score in the entire NFL. Seattle just suffered a loss to Chicago last week that officially knocked them out of the playoffs, so we might see a not-so-motivated team enter the field on Sunday. While the Seahawks have historically enjoyed a solid field advantage, they are just 3-4 ATS at Lumen Field this year. Meanwhile, the Lions are 5-3 ATS on the road at the start of Week 17 and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.

Projected score: Seattle 23, Lions 20
The choice: Lions +7

Latest odds: Green Bay Packers -6.5

Getting the Packers to lay less than seven is almost an automatic bet at this point. Yes, they failed to cover Cleveland last week, but more often than not Green Bay has been kind to punters this season. At the start of Week 17, Aaron Rodgers’ club are 11-4 ATS (second-best in the NFL) and 6-1 ATS at home (best in NFL) . With the No.1 seed still up for grabs, the Packers won’t be switching to cruise control anytime soon on their way to the playoffs. That’s bad news for a Minnesota team that couldn’t fend off the Rams last week, despite beating Matthew Stafford three times.

Projected score: Packers 30, Vikings 21
The choice: Packers -6.5

Latest odds: Dallas Cowboys -5.5

The Dallas Cowboys made one hell of a statement last Sunday night. After the previous events of Week 16 won the division for Jerry Jones’ club, they took the field against Washington and went nuclear. While it might be too much to expect a similar result in Week 17, they should be able to close the 5.5-point gap against a shocked Arizona club. . The Cardinals have lost four games in a row and completely lost their once-firm grip on the NFC. In last week’s loss to the Colts, they fought mightily on special teams, gave up a safety and couldn’t string any positive training together. If this continues, Dallas – who is the NFL’s best 12-3 ATS this season – will leave them in the dust.

Projected score: Cowboys 33, Cardinals 27
The choice: Cowboys -5.5

Latest odds: Buffalo Bills -14.5

It’s more of a test bet than anything else. After an emotional victory over the Patriots at Foxborough last week, Buffalo might be a bit disappointed. I don’t expect them to lose this game from a distance, but they could keep it within the two-goal margin the punters gave Atlanta. The Falcons are 5-3 ATS as a road team this season and have moved the ball much better on the road (5.4 yards per game) than at home (4.7 yards). per game) in attack. As for Buffalo, they’re 1-4 ATS in their last five straight wins and are just 3-3-1 ATS at home this season.

Projected score: Bills 30, Falcons 17
The choice: Falcons +14.5

Rest of the group

Chefs at Bengals
Projected score: Chefs 30, Bengals 24
The choice: Heads -5

Dolphins among the Titans
Projected score: Titans 27, Dolphins 20
The choice: Titans -3.5

Raiders at Colts
Projected score: Colts 28, Raiders 21
The choice: Foals -6.5

Jaguars at Patriots
Projected score: Patriots 27, Jaguars 10
The choice: Patriots -15.5

Buccaneers with Jets
Projected score: Boucaniers 33, Jets 17
The choice: Boucaniers -13

Eagles in Washington
Projected score: Washington 23, Eagles 21
The choice: Washington +3.5

Rams among crows
Projected score: Rams 27, Ravens 23
The choice: Rams -3.5

Broncos at Chargers
Projected score: Chargers 27, Broncos 21
The choice: Chargers -5.5

Texans at 49ers
Projected score: 49ers 28, Texans 17
The choice: Texans +12.5

Panthers to Saints
Projected score: Saints 27, Panthers 17
The choice: Saints -6.5

Browns in the Steelers
Projected score: Steelers 23, Browns 21
The choice: Steelers +3

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