The Kansas City Chiefs ended the regular season on a high and will host an NFL Wild Card Weekend playoff game on Sunday Night Football. Kansas City has won nine of its last 10 games, finishing as arguably the hottest team in the league. The Chiefs are 12-5 overall and 7-2 at home, and Kansas City will host the Pittsburgh Steelers at Arrowhead Stadium. Pittsburgh is 9-7-1 after winning three of its last four games, and the Steelers are 3-5 on the road this season.
Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Kansas City. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 12.5-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or the total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 46 in its latest Chiefs vs. Steelers odds. Before we make Steelers vs. Chiefs picks and NFL playoff predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine’s resident Chiefs expert Larry Hartstein has to say.
A former editor of Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines an extensive network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. This season he is on fire. Hartstein is 67-45 with its last 112 teams, for a profit of more than $1,600.
Additionally, Hartstein went an incredible 22-8 over his last 30 picks involving Kansas City, netting $1,300 for $100 bettors. Everyone who followed him is upstairs.
Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs Steelers and has just locked in his Wild Card playoff predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see Hartstein’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and Wild Card betting lines for Steelers vs Chiefs:
- Spread Chiefs vs Steelers: Chiefs – 12.5
- Chiefs vs. Steelers over-under: 46 points
- Moneyline Chiefs vs Steelers: Chiefs -800, Steelers +550
- PITT: Steelers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games
- KC: Chiefs 6-2 ATS in last eight games
Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Why the Steelers can cover
Pittsburgh leads the NFL in sacks this season, knocking out opposing quarterbacks 55 times. The Steelers are also among the elite in keeping opponents out of the end zone, posting a top-five rating in allowed efficiency in the red zone (50.8%). Pittsburgh allows opponents to convert third downs just 37.1 percent, forcing 22 turnovers.
The Steelers are in the NFL’s top 10 in pass defense, giving up 215.1 yards per game, and are above average in passer rating allowed (88.7), completion rate allowed (63.1%), yards per attempt allowed (7.1), touchdown passes allowed (24) and interceptions (13). Kansas City are strong on offense, but ball safety has been an issue, with the Chiefs committing 25 turnovers, including the third most lost fumble (12) in the NFL this season.
Why the Chiefs can cover
The Chiefs are averaging 4.5 yards per carry this season, sprinkling in an effective running game when needed. Pittsburgh is dead last in the NFL in rush defense, giving up 146.1 yards per game, and the Steelers are also last in giving up 5.0 yards per rush.
The Chiefs lead the entire NFL in several categories, including first downs (419), yards per drive (39.7), points per drive (2.72), third down efficiency (52.2 percent). ) and the efficiency of the fourth trial (66.7%). Kansas City is also in the top five in total offense, scoring offense, scoring percentage, yards per play, passing attack and sack avoidance, being a unit with very few weaknesses.
How to make Steelers vs Chiefs picks
Hartstein has analyzed this game and while we can tell you that he is looking at total points, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that is causing him to jump to one side of the gap. He’s just sharing what it is, and which side of the Chiefs vs. Steelers has extended at the back, to SportsLine.
So who wins Steelers vs. Chiefs in the 2022 NFL Playoffs? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread unavoidable? Visit SportsLine now to see the Steelers picks against the Hartstein Chiefs, all from the NFL pundit who is 22-8 on picks involving Kansas City, and find out.