On an evening with just four NBA games scheduled, the eyes of the league will be on Denver’s Ball Arena. Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors visit Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets in a high profile clash, and both clubs have big aspirations. The Warriors are 27-7 overall and 11-4 in road games this season, with the Nuggets holding a 17-16 overall rating and an 8-6 record in home games. Draymond Green (protocols), Klay Thompson (Achilles), James Wiseman (knee) and Damion Lee (protocols) are absent for Golden State. Aaron Gordon (hamstrings), Monte Morris (knee) and Austin Rivers (inch) are listed as questionable for Denver, with Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr. and PJ Dozier being excluded.
Departures are at 9:30 p.m. ET in Denver. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the road favorite with 5.5 points, while the total number of points Vegas thinks it will be scored is 212.5 in recent Warriors vs. Nuggets. Before making any Nuggets vs Warriors picks or NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model has to say.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has grossed well over $ 10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three and more seasons. The model enters Week 11 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 48-24 pitch on all of the top-rated NBA picks, grossing nearly $ 2,000. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set her sights on Warriors vs Nuggets and just revealed her NBA picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Now here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Nuggets vs Warriors:
- Spread Warriors vs. Nuggets: Warriors -5.5
- Over-under Warriors vs Nuggets: 212.5 points
- Warriors vs Nuggets silver line: Warriors -220, Nuggets +180
- GSW: Warriors are 8-6-1 ATS in road games
- DEN: Nuggets are 6-8 ATS in home games
Featured Game | Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State’s offense is excellent, scoring nearly 1.12 points per possession and ranking in the NBA top five in accuracy at 2 points, 3 points per game, assists, assists percentage and braking points. fast. The Warriors are even better at defense, however, and Golden State leads the league in points differential. Opponents are just 101.6 points per 100 possessions against the Warriors this season, and Golden State leads the NBA in defensive efficiency.
The Warriors keep their opponents at just 42.7% of shots from the field and 32.6% of 3-pointers, also leading the NBA in authorized assists at 21.4 per game. Golden State also ranks in the top five in the NBA in terms of defensive rebound rate (74.6%), allowed second chance points (12.0 per game), allowed quick break points (11.3 per game), interceptions (9.3 per game) and turnovers created (15.6 per game) this season.
Why the Nuggets can cover
The Nuggets traditionally have a strong field advantage in Denver, and the team has strengths both ways. The Nuggets are shooting 46.1 percent from the floor, ranking in the top 10 in the NBA, and Denver is in the top six in 2-point shooting (54.5 percent) and assists (25.6 per match). The Nuggets are above par in ball safety, making just 13.6 turnovers per game, and Golden State is only the 25th in the NBA to prevent free throw attempts in defense.
On the other hand, Denver maintains its opponents at just 33.9% over a distance of 3 points. The Nuggets are also in the NBA’s top-eight in free throw prevention and defensive rebound rate, with the league’s best score for preventing Second Chance points (10.8 per game). The Warriors are No.27 in the NBA for free-throw accuracy and No.29 for turnovers per game, opening the door to an effective defense on the Denver side.
How to make Nuggets vs Warriors picks
The SportsLine model looks at the total, projecting the teams to combine for 213 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap reaches well over 60% of simulations. You can only get model choice at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs Nuggets? And which side of the gap reaches more than 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Warriors you must jump, all from the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.